Virtus vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
VIR
7%
19%
75%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
TFI
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 2
TPE
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 2
VIR
10%
21%
69%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
3 - 0
CAI
82%
13%
4%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
DOM
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TPE
2 - 3
JUV
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 3
JUV
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 1
JUV
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 1
FAE
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |