Virtus vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 1
COS
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CAI
3 - 2
VIR
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 3
FAE
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TPE
4 - 1
VIR
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 1
SGI
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 3
FAE
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TPE
2 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
SGI
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
COS
0 - 2
JUV
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |