Virtus vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 5
FIO
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
2 - 1
VIR
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 3
VIR
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
PEN
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 1
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FOL
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |