Virtus vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 1
VIR
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
DOM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
VIR
37%
23%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
3 - 1
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
SGI
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FAE
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |