Virtus vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 2
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
LIB
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
FOL
16%
22%
63%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | +1 |