Virtus vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 3
VIR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
VIR
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 2
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
2 - 0
FOL
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
PEN
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |