Virtus vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
STB
4 - 0
VIR
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 7
STB
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TPE
0 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIR
4 - 1
SGI
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
FLO
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 5
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
FLO
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 1
FLO
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |