Virtus vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 0
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 2
VIR
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
VIR
3 - 0
DOM
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SGI
0 - 2
VIR
24%
25%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 1
PEN
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 0
TFI
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FAE
0 - 4
FIO
10%
20%
69%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CAI
0 - 3
FIO
9%
19%
72%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FIO
2 - 0
TPE
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 3
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |