Virtus vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
76.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 1
VIR
79%
14%
8%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAI
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
3 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CAI
3 - 0
VIR
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SGI
1 - 3
VIR
44%
22%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FIO
5 - 0
LIB
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
FIO
5 - 0
COS
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
FIO
14%
20%
67%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |