Virtus vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 1
PEN
35%
27%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
JUV
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
JUV
23%
24%
54%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 2
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
4 - 0
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |