Virtus vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
PEN
75%
18%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 1
VIR
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TPE
0 - 2
VIR
56%
22%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 3
COS
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
SGI
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
0 - 1
CAI
70%
17%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |