Virtus vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
4 - 5
CAI
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
MUR
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 4
FIO
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 0
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 3
TPE
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 1
TFI
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
4 - 0
SGI
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |