Virtus vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 3
VIR
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 2
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 4
TPE
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 0
VIR
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 0
FIO
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
3 - 2
FIO
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 2
CAI
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
23%
25%
53%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | +1 |