Virtus vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
FAE
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 2
VIR
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIR
5 - 2
LIB
74%
17%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 4
VIR
8%
15%
77%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 7
VIR
7%
18%
75%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
FAE
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TFI
2 - 1
FAE
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 4
VIR
8%
15%
77%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 0
JUV
22%
22%
56%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |