Virtus vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
DOM
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 1
VIR
12%
22%
66%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 3
VIR
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 19 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
4 - 0
FIO
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FAE
4 - 1
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAI
4 - 1
FAE
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 0
FAE
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FAE
3 - 3
TFI
10%
21%
69%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
3 - 4
FAE
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |