Virtus vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
5 - 0
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 2
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 2
TFI
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FAE
2 - 1
TFI
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SGI
3 - 0
FAE
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
FAE
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FAE
1 - 0
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |