Virtus vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 1
LIB
26%
27%
48%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TFI
3 - 3
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TPE
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 2
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DOM
0 - 1
TFI
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FAE
0 - 1
DOM
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DOM
1 - 2
LIB
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DOM
2 - 2
FOL
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
DOM
1 - 2
FAE
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |