Virtus vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
70%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 1
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
FAE
1 - 0
VIR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
VIR
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 0
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
DOM
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TFI
4 - 1
DOM
80%
15%
6%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 2
COS
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |