Virtus vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
VIR
37%
23%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 3
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 5
FAE
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 1
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |