Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 0
VIR
12%
18%
70%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
5 - 1
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 1
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TPE
1 - 1
VIR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
COS
68%
18%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
COS
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 4
COS
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |