Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
5 - 0
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 2
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
CAI
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
DOM
1 - 2
COS
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |