Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 1
VIR
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
JUV
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
VIR
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
COS
4 - 0
DOM
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
30%
24%
45%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
COS
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
FAE
2 - 2
COS
33%
25%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COS
3 - 1
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |