Virtus vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FAE
5 - 0
VIR
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 4
TPE
8%
17%
75%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SGI
0 - 0
VIR
35%
22%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 4
JUV
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 1
COS
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
CAI
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAI
2 - 1
FAE
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TPE
5 - 2
CAI
80%
15%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAI
2 - 2
JUV
24%
24%
53%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SGI
1 - 1
CAI
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |