Virtus vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BOL
17 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 5
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 1
COS
66%
19%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 0
VIR
12%
18%
70%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
2 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAI
4 - 1
MUR
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 1
CAI
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
TPE
2 - 0
CAI
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAI
2 - 2
PEN
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |