Virtus vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
53%
24%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 0
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 1
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
53%
24%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAI
4 - 2
DOM
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAI
3 - 0
MUR
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAI
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 0
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |