Virtus vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
MUR
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 4
FIO
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
81%
14%
6%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
2 - 0
MUR
21%
25%
55%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
CAI
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 4
FAE
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 1
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |