Virtus Verona vs Fontanafredda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MES
3 - 3
VIR
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
TAM
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
VIR
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CNO
2 - 2
VIR
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fontanafredda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FON
2 - 1
FMO
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 0
FON
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
DCA
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
FON
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
GIO
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |