Virtus Verona vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAP
3 - 2
VIR
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
CIS
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CUN
2 - 2
VIR
57%
24%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
REA
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 3
LEC
30%
27%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
59%
23%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AST
2 - 0
FOL
41%
28%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |