Virtus Francavilla vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TUR
1 - 0
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 3
BAR
23%
26%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
FCC
2 - 1
FRA
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
CAT
3 - 2
FRA
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TER
0 - 1
FRA
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
USV
0 - 1
JUS
25%
28%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 1
USV
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
USV
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAT
2 - 1
USV
47%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
USV
2 - 1
FRA
33%
29%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |