Virtus Francavilla vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
FRA
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
TER
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
CAV
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 3
USF
20%
25%
56%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
USF
0 - 0
USV
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
USF
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
USF
0 - 2
TER
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |