Virtus Francavilla vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
FRA
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
BAR
23%
27%
49%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAS
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TER
1 - 1
REG
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 2
TER
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TER
0 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
TER
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TER
1 - 0
RPO
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |