Virtus Francavilla vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
FRA
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
POM
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REA
0 - 0
FRA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
SER
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 0
GAL
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 0
SSM
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
POM
1 - 1
SSM
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 1
FON
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
SSM
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |