Virtus Francavilla vs Serpentara Bellegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
TAR
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 0
FRA
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
SSE
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
APR
1 - 2
FRA
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Serpentara Bellegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
SSM
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BIS
0 - 0
SER
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SER
3 - 2
FON
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 3
SER
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
POM
29%
23%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |