Virtus Francavilla vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
APR
1 - 2
FRA
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 2
FRA
27%
25%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUR
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
3 - 0
FRA
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
TOR
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SSE
3 - 1
BIS
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PIC
3 - 2
SSE
22%
21%
56%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SSE
1 - 1
FON
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 4
SSE
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |