Virtus Francavilla vs Potenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
FRA
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SSE
0 - 1
FRA
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 2
APR
62%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 1
CPT
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RPO
1 - 5
TOR
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PIC
3 - 1
RPO
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RPO
1 - 1
SSM
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BIS
4 - 0
RPO
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1967 |
FCC
2 - 1
RPO
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -2 |