Virtus Francavilla vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
FRA
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
SSM
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
FRA
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
POM
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REA
0 - 0
FRA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SSM
0 - 4
PIC
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PIC
3 - 1
BIS
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
POM
2 - 2
PIC
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 0
FON
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 3
PIC
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |