Virtus Francavilla vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
SIR
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
FRA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 1
FRA
56%
25%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
SIR
33%
26%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 0
PAG
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
AKR
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |