Virtus Francavilla vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2019 |
RPO
3 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAS
45%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
JUS
1 - 2
FRA
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
BIS
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 1
FRA
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 2
ARC
82%
14%
5%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 2
NOV
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SIE
0 - 1
NOV
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PIS
3 - 0
NOV
47%
29%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 2
SIE
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |