Virtus Francavilla vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SSE
0 - 1
FRA
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 2
APR
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 1
CPT
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRS
1 - 1
FRA
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 0
VIR
39%
26%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 0
BIS
22%
25%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PIC
0 - 2
NAR
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POT
0 - 3
NAR
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
2 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |