Virtus Francavilla vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
5 - 0
FRA
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
IMO
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 0
FRA
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 0
FRA
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
LIV
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
POR
3 - 2
LEC
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 2
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
PSM
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
USA
0 - 0
LEC
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 1
USA
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |