Virtus Francavilla vs Gallipoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
FRA
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 3
FRA
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
PIC
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
FRA
53%
23%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
SSM
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 1
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PIC
2 - 0
GAL
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 4
TAR
18%
23%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BIS
2 - 0
GAL
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 1
RPO
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |