Virtus Francavilla vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
REG
3 - 2
FRA
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
JUS
35%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 2
FIA
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 2
TAR
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FON
2 - 2
USF
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 1
FON
52%
27%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
FON
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
MAT
29%
25%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |