Virtus Francavilla vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
JUS
2 - 1
FRA
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 2
USV
43%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TUR
1 - 0
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 3
BAR
23%
26%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
FCC
2 - 1
FRA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
JUS
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
CAT
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 2
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
TER
1 - 1
CAT
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |