Virtus Francavilla vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
REG
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
USC
4 - 0
FRA
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
RPO
3 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
REN
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 0
CAS
48%
26%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FCC
4 - 1
CAS
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAS
45%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SIC
0 - 3
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |