Virtus Francavilla vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
RIE
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
FRA
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
JUS
4 - 3
FRA
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BIS
2 - 1
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 1
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAV
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |