Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
7º
7º
10
11º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 64 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 41 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 26 |
17º
|
45% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
FRA
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 2
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FBC
0 - 1
FRA
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
ACE
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FIA
0 - 1
FRA
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRI
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
AMA
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 1
BRI
53%
26%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FBC
2 - 0
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |