Virtus Francavilla vs AC Isola Liri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 0
FRA
33%
28%
40%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
GAL
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
FRA
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 3
FRA
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
PIC
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AC Isola Liri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
ACI
1 - 0
TOR
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BIS
0 - 2
ACI
58%
23%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ACI
1 - 0
PIC
28%
24%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FON
3 - 2
ACI
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ACI
0 - 1
SSM
40%
28%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |