Virtus Entella vs Valenzana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CUN
2 - 1
ACD
68%
20%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 2
PRO
42%
26%
31%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ACD
4 - 0
BOR
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACD
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 0
ACG
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 2
BOR
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
VAL
61%
22%
16%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ACG
0 - 0
VAL
59%
24%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 3
CUN
12%
22%
67%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
VAL
87%
10%
3%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |