Virtus Entella vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
ACD
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
ASC
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 2
ACD
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
CES
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
ACD
0 - 1
SAL
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
TER
1 - 0
SAL
35%
28%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
TER
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
TER
4 - 1
AVE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |