Virtus Entella vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
ACD
28%
28%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
USA
0 - 0
ACD
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +4 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
USP
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 3
ACD
35%
28%
38%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 1
ACS
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 0
ACG
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
SAV
18%
25%
58%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 1
TRE
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAV
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |